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San Antonio FC vs. OKC Energy FC match predictions


With San Antonio FC and OKC Energy taking the pitch for their Western Conference Semifinal match in 24 hours, I asked our staff along with other media members to get in their predictions for Saturday’s big match.

Let’s kick things off with my prediction, shall we? OKC is the only Western Conference team that SAFC has yet to beat in their two-year history, going 0-1-5 all-time. This season, San Antonio FC and OKC went to a draw in all three match ups. Fans should expect yet another tough battle with extra time highly possible.

SAFC has only lost one home match dating back to September 2016 and eliminating them in front of their rowdy Toyota Field fans will not be an easy task. OKC’s defense has been solid all season long as they come into the match winner’s of their last seven matches.

I keep looking back to a match in July where SAFC was looking prime to win until a flukey goal from OKC earned them the draw. I think San Antonio FC finally solves their OKC curse and advances to the Western Conference Finals. Prediction: 2-1 SAFC.

Samantha Garcia: San Antonio wins 1-0. SAFC’s backline is one of the best in the league, so good in fact, they held OKC scoreless in two of three meetings. I think SAFC will finally record a clean sheet and a goal from either Billy Forbes or Ever Guzman is the difference.

Jonathon Check, Two Ten Soccer (Formerly Pitch Black News): My first inclination was to go with a 1-1 draw and have SAFC eventually eke it out in penalty kicks. It’s always a tight matchup between these two – only one match out of the six they’ve played against each other hasn’t been a draw, and even that outlier was only a one-goal win – and I expect this time will be no different. It’ll be a battle, both teams will be tough to score on and mistakes will be costly. There must be a winner though, and once the match goes to extra time, I expect SAFC’s resolve and home field advantage to spur them on into the USL Western Conference final.

Aaron Marvel, MLS in SA: In six tries over two seasons, San Antonio FC has never beaten OKC Energy, but they tie a lot. Five times to be exact (0-1-5), including 3 draws this season. The two teams played to a 1-1 draw in their only Toyota Field matchup back on July 14th.  In fact, these teams are so even – both sit at exactly 47 goals scored through their 33 USL matches in 2017. What a time it would be for SAFC to chalk up that first victory over their northern rivals. And how the landscape has changed for both teams since that mid-summer matchup. Most notably for OKC Energy, they lost their starting GK & Captain, Cody Laurendi, to injury. Meanwhile, SAFC added Mexican striker Ever Guzman, who is paying off huge dividends. Guzman now has 5 goals and an assist in the last 4 games. Those 5 goals are enough to tie him with Elizondo for third in SAFC goals across the entire season. For SAFC fans who saw this team lose both their PK shootouts in 2017, seeing Guzman take such a clinical penalty in the decider of the Tulsa match has to be a welcome sight ahead of a matchup known for its tight outcomes. It’s not a stretch to think the subtraction of Laurendi and the addition of Guzman might be enough to tip the scales in San Antonio’s direction. Although don’t sleep on OKC’s backup keeper CJ Cochran who has an impressive 75% save percentage in 7 starts since taking over – a 12% increase from Luarendi (Restrepo is 76%, for comparison sake).

Defensively for SAFC, Manager Darren Powell appears to be going with a “if it’s not broke, don’t fix it” approach on the back line, as 2017 featured RB Ben Newnam not only found himself once again replaced by SAFC everyman Ryan Roushandel for the Tulsa match, but Newnam was also left out of the 18 entirely. In Roushandel’s ten starts this season across all competitions, SAFC has not lost (8-0-2). As is the case with most of their matchups this season, defense is where SAFC separates themselves. SAFC has conceded 16 fewer goals than OKC this season, while racking up 5 more clean sheets. Look for the defense to be the difference maker.

And speaking of difference makers – San Antonio lead the way in attendance in the USL’s opening round of the playoffs. Look for another strong showing on Saturdaynight to help lift the boys to victory. I think SAFC finally solves the OKC puzzle and books the Western Conference Final for Toyota Field by completing their Oklahoman playoff dominance.  San Antonio FC 2, OKC 1 .

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Stephen Michael 26, is a journalist, social media coordinator, host, and entertainment reporter. Michael graduated in 2017 with a bachelor’s degree in Communication Arts and earned a Master's Degree in Digital Media in 2020 from the University of the Incarnate Word. He has worked covering the San Antonio Rampage, Stars, and San Antonio Futbol Club. He was the host of the Project Spurs Roundtable on NBC affiliate News 4 San Antonio from 2015-17.


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